Mortgage rates reached some of their lowest levels in years at the end of February. Then the conflict in the Middle East pushed oil prices higher, fueling inflation concerns and sending mortgage rates back up.
Now that the Strait of Hormuz has reopened to commercial shipping and oil prices have fallen, many people are asking the same question: Will mortgage rates come back down too? More importantly, will they return to the lows we saw earlier this year?
So far, the answer is not yet.
Even though oil prices have returned to roughly where they were earlier this year, mortgage rates haven't followed. Inflation is still proving stubborn, and while gas prices have started to ease, the higher energy costs are still working their way through the economy.
Adding to that, the Federal Reserve signaled after its most recent meeting that it could raise its policy rate later this year if inflation remains elevated. The Fed doesn't set mortgage rates directly, but its outlook has a major influence on them. Right now, mortgage rates are reflecting the possibility of future Fed rate hikes instead of the rate cuts many investors expected earlier this year.
The good news is that while today's rates aren't as low as they were in February, they have come down from the highest levels we saw over the past few months.
So, does that mean it's a bad time to buy a home or refinance?
Not at all.
Mortgage rates are still well below where they were in 2024 and 2025, and today's housing market offers opportunities that many buyers haven't seen in years.
If you're wondering whether now is the right time for you, I'd be happy to look at your situation, answer your questions, and help you explore your options.
Some reasons you may want to reach out...
- If you or someone close to you is thinking of buying a home and wants to know if now is a good time
- If you want to know if refinancing makes sense to save some money or lower your rate
- If you have big payments like car loans, HELOC loans, or credit card debt and want to see about possibly lowering your payments by consolidating debt