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Forecast for the week of October 16, 2023

Please enjoy this complimentary mortgage rate forecast provided to keep you informed of where interest rates may be headed, and to help you gain the advantage in securing low rates and payments.

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Last Week's Mortgage Rate Recap:

Rates improved


For the first time in weeks we saw mortgage rates improve, despite inflation readings that came in at expectations or slightly higher than was expected.

This Week's Mortgage Rate Forecast:

Rates may worsen


This week we may see rates lose some ground, giving back some of last week's improvements. We have likely seen mortgage rates peak and hit their worst levels, but we could revisit those levels over the coming weeks before falling again. Rates are likely to move up and down within a small window as we head into the Fed meeting at the end of the month, rather than move significantly higher or lower from here.

What's affecting rates this week:

  • Economic data: There are few reports this week, but Tuesday's retail sales data has the most chance of affecting rates. A strong reading which points to a resilient economy could pressure rates early in the week.
  • Fed speakers: Fed members will be on a blackout period starting on Saturday, ahead of the upcoming Fed meeting, but this week there will be lots of Fed members out speaking which could impact mortgage rates. A message that the Fed will hold rates higher for longer could pressure rates slightly higher from here.

If you would like to discuss interest rates further or find out the benefits of locking your rate today, please contact your mortgage professional at or .

Interest Rate Forecast and Commentary provided by:


All information provided is for informational purposes only, and we assume no responsibility to any person who relies on information contained in this report, and disclaim all liability in respect to decisions or actions or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report. This is not an offer to lend.


Hammer Solutions, LLC 260 Leaping Cat Ln Waynesville, North Carolina 28785 United States (973) 200-6808