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Forecast for the week of May 6, 2024

Please enjoy this complimentary mortgage rate forecast provided to keep you informed of where interest rates may be headed, and to help you gain the advantage in securing low rates and payments.

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Last Week's Mortgage Rate Recap:

Rates moved lower

Mortgage rates improved last week because markets grew more optimistic that the Fed was still committed to cutting rates later in the year despite inflation not falling much this year. Rates started improving after the Fed meeting on Wednesday when the Fed kept its policy rate unchanged and Fed Chair Powell made it clear that policy rate hikes were not yet on the table. Rates continued to improve through Friday's jobs data which showed the first clear sign of a softening labor market.

This Week's Mortgage Rate Forecast:

Rates not likely to change much

This week is not likely to bring about much movement for rates after last week's big moves. Mortgage rates are now back to reflecting two Fed rate cuts by the end of the year, and traders will be waiting to see what next week's inflation data shows.

What's affecting rates this week:

• Economic data: There is little economic data this week to affect mortgage rates, but some Treasury auctions this week could have a small effect, especially Wednesday's 10yr auction.
• Fed speakers: Fed members will be out speaking this week, and will likely reinforce the message that the Fed needs to hold rates steady until inflation shows signs of moving lower.
  

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All information provided is for informational purposes only, and we assume no responsibility to any person who relies on information contained in this report, and disclaim all liability in respect to decisions or actions or lack thereof based on any or all of the contents of this report. This is not an offer to lend.